Are you aware of the bug in the TG Elo calculation?
If you look at the elo of players (see aoe2.net), then most games seem pretty close on paper. The inflated TG elo makes everything into a mess, so pretty much no game is balance and your TG elo doesnt mean much at all.
This is also the result of the inflation. Even players with a low win rate have a high rating, but they are still pretty garbage most of the time. All this mess is the result of the inflated TG elo. This is already part of the game since its release and still not fixed by the devs.